Alright, time for the controversial part. The part where some of you are going to get mad at me.
If you aren’t following the topic, there were two articles that precede the current one, I encourage you to read them first:
- The Time-for-Money Trap: Why Business Ownership Is the Only Path for Building Wealth and Financial Freedom
- Building Wealth Through Investing: Real Estate and Index Funds
Okay, ready?
Cryptocurrency is not investing. It’s gambling.
I don’t care how many YouTube videos you’ve watched, how many X threads promised you’d “make it,” or how sophisticated the blockchain technology sounds. For the vast majority of people, putting money into crypto is pure speculation at best and getting scammed at worst.
The fundamental principle of investing is that you’re buying an asset with intrinsic value – something that produces cash flow, earnings, or utility.
When you buy stock in Apple, you own a piece of a company that makes products, generates revenue, and distributes profits. When you buy real estate, you own property that can be used or rented for income. There’s underlying economic value.
When you buy a shitcoin, what do you actually own? A string of code that doesn’t produce anything, doesn’t generate cash flow, doesn’t have earnings. Its only value is what the next person is willing to pay you for it.
That’s called the “greater fool theory” – you’re hoping a greater fool than you will buy it at a higher price.
What Buffet And Stats Say

Warren Buffett has been brutally clear about this:
“Cryptocurrencies basically have no value and they don’t produce anything… In terms of value: zero”.
His longtime partner Charlie Munger has called it “rat poison squared” and even compared it to a “venereal disease”. These aren’t just random old guys yelling at clouds – these are literally the most successful investors in human history.
But forget their opinions. Let’s look at the data.
A 2022 study by the Bank for International Settlements analyzed global crypto exchange data and found that 73-81% of retail cryptocurrency investors lost money.
Read that again: three-quarters of people who bought crypto ended up with less money than they started with.
The pattern is predictable: prices surge, media hype builds, new users jump in late to the rally, then the crash comes, and the majority are left holding massive losses.
Another study found that three-quarters of Bitcoin purchasers worldwide have not made a profit. Despite all the hype, most people who bought Bitcoin are underwater.
Let’s Look At The Examples
But wait, what about the people who made millions? Yes, some people did. Just like some people win at the casino. But for every winner, there are multiple losers – because crypto is a zero-sum game (actually negative-sum when you factor in exchange fees and energy costs).
Let me tell you a composite story that represents thousands of real experiences:
“Bitcoin Bob” is a tech-savvy 30-something who sees Bitcoin hitting $60,000+ in late 2021. Everyone’s talking about crypto gains. His friend bought a new car with Ethereum profits. Hello FOMO!
Bob puts $50,000 of his savings into various cryptocurrencies. Initially, his portfolio jumps to $75,000. He feels like a genius. He’s calculating when he’ll become a millionaire.
Then 2022 hits: Bitcoin crashes over 70% from its peak. Most altcoins drop 90%. Some platforms where he held crypto freeze withdrawals – Celsius and Voyager go bankrupt. His $75,000 is now worth $20,000.
Panicked, he sells to cut his losses. He’s effectively gambled away $30,000 of his savings.
This happened to tens of thousands of people.
Compare Bob to “Lucky Lucy” – she bought Dogecoin as a joke with $1,000. It skyrocketed 100x during an Elon Musk-fueled mania. She cashed out $100,000.
Lucy got lucky. That’s it. Her success wasn’t based on analysis, fundamental value, or any repeatable strategy. It was pure timing and luck – like winning a hand at the casino.
If Lucy keeps “investing” in hype coins, eventually she’ll lose. The house always wins in gambling.
Does It Hold Any Value?
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, warned in 2022 that crypto assets are “based on nothing” and “worth nothing” in terms of intrinsic value, telling people to be prepared to lose all the money they invest.
Here’s the philosophical problem I have with calling crypto “investing”: you have no certain knowledge that any particular coin will go up. If it goes 10x today, it could crash to zero tomorrow. There’s no rational basis for valuation because there are no earnings, no cash flows, no fundamental metrics to analyze.
With the S&P 500, you can reasonably expect that over 10-20 years, the economy will likely grow, companies will generate profits, and your investment will probably increase in value. With real estate, you can analyze rental markets, local development, property conditions.
With crypto prices move on sentiment, tweets, momentum, and manipulation. It’s not investing based on fundamentals – it’s speculation based on hoping you can sell to someone else for more.
Be Aware Of Fraud
The crypto world has also been plagued by outright fraud: the Mt. Gox collapse in 2014, the FTX implosion in 2022 where billions disappeared, countless pump-and-dump schemes on small tokens.
I know someone’s going to argue “but blockchain technology is revolutionary” or “Bitcoin is digital gold.” Maybe. Time will tell. But that doesn’t mean it’s a good investment right now for regular people.
Even if blockchain transforms finance someday, that doesn’t mean any current cryptocurrency will be the winner. Betting on crypto is like investing in internet companies in 1999 – sure, the internet was revolutionary, but most of those companies went to zero.
Look, if you want to gamble 1-5% of your portfolio on crypto for fun, fine. Treat it like a lottery ticket. But don’t confuse it with investing, and don’t bet money you can’t afford to lose completely.
The uncomfortable truth is that crypto has become a wealth transfer mechanism from late adopters to early adopters, from retail investors to exchanges and whales, from the hopeful to the ruthless.
The Two Ingredients Your Money Needs to Multiply
Let’s bring this back to the fundamentals of real investing.
Whether you’re talking about index funds or real estate (read the previous article for details), legitimate investing requires two essential ingredients: capital and time.
Capital is obvious – you need money to invest. You can’t buy property or stocks with empty pockets.
But the amount of capital matters enormously.
If you invest $1 in the S&P 500 earning 5% annually, that’s 5 cents per year. Completely meaningless. Even after 50 years of compounding, it won’t materially change your life.
But if you invest $1 million at 5% annually, that’s $50,000 per year. That’s a livable income. You could live on just the dividends without ever touching the principal.
Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s business partner, famously said you need to earn your first $100,000 – then your first million – “any way you can,” because after that, investing becomes a completely different game.
Why? Because once you have substantial capital, you have access to real assets:
- Commercial real estate that generates serious cash flow
- Enough stock holdings that your dividends actually matter
- The ability to diversify meaningfully across asset classes
- Financial cushion to ride out market volatility without panic-selling
This is why I emphasized in the first article that business is how you build that initial million. You need entrepreneurship and business ownership to accumulate the capital. Then you use investing to multiply and protect it.
For me personally, earning my first million is my main focus right now. Once I hit that milestone, investing becomes a different game entirely – one where compound returns actually move the needle on my life.
Useful Resources
If you’re interested in business models and startup ideas to build that first million, I highly recommend the podcast “My First Million”. It’s the best business podcast out there – I’ve listened to every episode from beginning to current. They break down different business models and ideas that regular people have used to hit seven figures.
The FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) movement has popularized this concept: earn aggressively through work or business, save an extremely high percentage of your income (often 50-70%), invest it consistently, and reach financial independence much faster than traditional retirement timelines.
For example, the Johnsons (a composite of many real FIRE stories): a dual-income couple in their 30s making a combined $120,000. Instead of lifestyle inflation, they keep expenses low and save 50% of their income. They invest heavily in index funds and buy a couple of rental properties.
By age 45, through consistent investing and compound returns, their portfolio (including home equity, retirement accounts, and rentals) grows to around $1.5 million. Using the “4% safe withdrawal rule,” that’s $60,000 per year – enough to cover their frugal living expenses.
They quit their jobs. Not to sit on a beach forever necessarily, but because they no longer need to work for money. They have the freedom to pursue passion projects, spend time with family, volunteer, or just choose how to spend their days.
They traded consumption in their 20s and 30s (smaller home, older cars, fewer fancy dinners) for total time freedom in their 40s onward.
That’s the power of combining business/career income with disciplined investing over time.
But again: you need both ingredients. Capital without time doesn’t compound enough. Time without sufficient capital doesn’t generate meaningful returns.
Patience is absolutely essential. Anyone promising 1000% returns quickly is selling you gambling or fraud, not investing.
Freedom Isn’t Just Money – It’s Buying Back Your Time
Let me wrap this up by bringing everything together.
Real wealth isn’t about having fancy things or impressive bank account numbers. Real wealth is control over your time.

Morgan Housel, author of “The Psychology of Money,” nailed it:
“The highest form of wealth is the ability to wake up every morning and say, ‘I can do whatever I want today’”.
That’s what all of this is actually about. That’s why we’re talking about business ownership and investing in the first place.
The progression looks like this:
- Business builds your initial capital (that first hundred thousand, then first million)
- Investing multiplies that capital and generates “passive” income
- When “passive” income exceeds your expenses, you achieve financial independence
- Financial independence means you’ve bought back your time – work becomes optional
Financial independence doesn’t mean you stop working necessarily. Many people who reach it continue working because they love what they do. The difference is choice.
If you’re financially free, you might still work hard on something you care about, but it’s on your terms, not because you’ll default on rent without next week’s paycheck.
Naval Ravikant calls “ownership of your time” the real status symbol. Not the car you drive or the watch you wear, but whether you control your own schedule.
A 2021 study found that well-being continues to rise with income, but it also showed that time stress diminishes happiness. The study found that people who spend money to save time (like outsourcing chores) report higher life satisfaction than those who have money but no time.
Another study showed that beyond a certain comfortable income level, additional money has diminishing returns for happiness – but having more control over your schedule increases life satisfaction substantially.
The Most Valuable Asset Of Yours
This is why I keep hammering on the time-for-money trap. Your time is literally the most valuable, non-renewable resource you have. Every hour you trade for money is an hour of your life you’ll never get back.
There’s no single magical path that works for everyone. Some people build businesses, some climb corporate ladders while investing aggressively, some focus on real estate, some do combinations of all three.
But here’s the common thread among people who achieve financial freedom: they build assets that generate income without requiring their constant effort.
They don’t rely solely on active income – trading hours for dollars. They create or acquire assets (businesses, stock portfolios, rental properties) that work for them even while they sleep.
The balanced strategy most self-made wealthy people use:
- Earn income (through business or high-value career)
- Live significantly below their means
- Invest the surplus consistently
- Build multiple income streams over time
- Eventually passive income exceeds expenses
- Time freedom achieved
One more crucial point: there’s a huge difference between calculated risks and foolish risks.
- Calculated risks: Starting a well-researched business, investing in diversified index funds, buying rental property in a growing area – these have positive expected value based on historical data and fundamental analysis.
- Foolish risks: Dumping your savings into a random shitcoin because someone on X said it’ll “moon,” day trading without experience, investing in things you don’t understand – these are gambling.
Warren Buffett’s first rule of investing: “Never lose money.” His second rule: “Never forget rule number one”.
That doesn’t mean avoid all risk – it means understand the difference between investing based on fundamentals versus speculation based on hope and hype.
Choose Your Path
Remember Ronald Read, the janitor who died with $8 million? He didn’t have a high income, or special insider knowledge, but he just invested consistently in solid companies and waited.
Remember the crypto investors? 73-81% lost money chasing quick gains.
One group was patient and disciplined. The other was impatient and speculative.
Look, I get it. Index funds returning 7% annually sounds boring compared to crypto promising 10x gains. Real estate taking 20-30 years to build serious wealth sounds slow.
But boring and slow is what actually works. Exciting and fast is usually how you lose everything.
Your time is the ultimate non-renewable resource. Every year you spend trapped in the time-for-money cycle is a year of your life you’ll never get back.
But the path exists.
- Business ownership to build capital.
- Smart investing to multiply it.
- Patience to let compound returns work their magic.
Eventually, passive income exceeds expenses, and you’ve bought back your time.
No lottery ticket required, no inheritance needed. Just intentional choices, discipline, and patience.
Stop renting out your time. Start buying it back.
The S&P 500 has been there for 70 years, quietly compounding at 10% annually. Real estate has created countless millionaires through rental income and appreciation. These aren’t secrets – they’re just not exciting enough for social media.
But they work. Proven, reliable, boring, and effective.
Meanwhile, cryptocurrency continues to transfer wealth from the hopeful to the early adopters, from retail investors to exchanges, from those seeking freedom to those already free.
Choose your path wisely. Your future self is depending on the decisions you make today.
























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